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Research Article|Articles in Press

Association of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-Fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT parameters with neoadjuvant therapy response and survival in esophagogastric cancer

Open AccessPublished:May 10, 2023DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejso.2023.05.009

      Abstract

      Introduction

      Better predictive markers are needed to deliver individualized care for patients with primary esophagogastric cancer. This exploratory study aimed to assess whether pre-treatment imaging parameters from dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/CT are associated with response to neoadjuvant therapy or outcome.

      Materials and methods

      Following ethical approval and informed consent, prospective participants underwent dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-FDG PET/CT prior to neoadjuvant chemotherapy/chemoradiotherapy ± surgery. Vascular dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and metabolic 18F-FDG PET parameters were compared by tumor characteristics using Mann Whitney U test and with pathological response (Mandard tumor regression grade), recurrence-free and overall survival using logistic regression modelling, adjusting for predefined clinical variables.

      Results

      39 of 47 recruited participants (30 males; median age 65 years, IQR: 54, 72 years) were included in the final analysis. The tumor vascular-metabolic ratio was higher in patients remaining node positive following neoadjuvant therapy (median tumor peak enhancement/SUVmax ratio: 0.052 vs. 0.023, p = 0.02). In multivariable analysis adjusted for age, gender, pre-treatment tumor and nodal stage, peak enhancement (highest gadolinium concentration value prior to contrast washout) was associated with pathological tumor regression grade. The odds of response decreased by 5% for each 0.01 unit increase (OR 0.95; 95% CI: 0.90, 1.00, p = 0.04). No 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters were predictive of pathological tumor response. No relationships between pre-treatment imaging and survival were identified.

      Conclusion

      Pre-treatment esophagogastric tumor vascular and metabolic parameters may provide additional information in assessing response to neoadjuvant therapy.

      Keywords

      1. Introduction

      Esophageal cancer, including cancers extending to the esophagogastric junction, affects 456,000 new patients worldwide each year [
      • Edgren G.
      • et al.
      A global assessment of the oesophageal adenocarcinoma epidemic.
      ]. It is a leading cause of cancer death with 5-year overall survival rates of 15%–25%. For suitable patients presenting with localized disease, clinical guidelines recommend neoadjuvant chemotherapy or chemoradiotherapy followed by definitive surgery [
      • Lordick F.
      • et al.
      PET to assess early metabolic response and to guide treatment of adenocarcinoma of the oesophagogastric junction: the MUNICON phase II trial.
      ]. Nevertheless, only 30–40% of patients achieve a ‘cure’ [
      • Sjoquist K.M.
      • et al.
      Survival after neoadjuvant chemotherapy or chemoradiotherapy for resectable oesophageal carcinoma: an updated meta-analysis.
      ], but all experience a significant negative impact on quality of life [
      • Lagergren P.
      • et al.
      Health-related quality of life among patients cured by surgery for esophageal cancer.
      ]. Better patient stratification for neoadjuvant treatment remains a key challenge [
      • Secrier M.
      • et al.
      Mutational signatures in esophageal adenocarcinoma define etiologically distinct subgroups with therapeutic relevance.
      ]. Reliable pre-treatment predictive markers could potentially allow for intensification of neoadjuvant treatment in resistant tumor phenotypes, or omission of surgery in complete responders, and improve patient reported outcome measures. The aim of this prospective exploratory study was to determine whether tumor vascular and metabolic parameters derived from dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET/CT, respectively, may provide additional predictive and/or prognostic information to current staging.

      2. Materials and methods

      2.1 Participants

      Following ethical approval and written informed consent, consecutive participants with a new diagnosis of thoracic esophageal/esophagogastric cancer, and under consideration for definitive treatment, were recruited between March 2014 and March 2020, when recruitment was suspended due to the COVID pandemic. Inclusion criteria were adults with histologically proven cancer; Stage II-III (T2-4, N0-3, M0; American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM (tumor, node, metastasis) staging system, 7th edition [
      • Byrd D.R.
      • et al.
      AJCC cancer staging manual.
      ]); ECOG performance status 0–2; who were candidates for definitive treatment (surgery ± neoadjuvant chemotherapy or chemoradiation; or definitive chemoradiation). Pre-treatment staging was the tumor board clinical TNM stage. For nodal status, this took into account size criteria from CT (short axis >10 mm), metabolic activity on 18 F-FDG PET/CT, and endoscopic ultrasound±fine needle aspiration unless the tumor was non-passable at endoscopy. Exclusion criteria included inability to consent; presence of distant metastatic disease; any contraindication to MRI contrast agent administration; prior mucosal resection of the tumor; and prior thoracic radiotherapy or systemic chemotherapy, within the preceding 3 months. Fig. 1 summarizes the participant flowchart.

      2.2 Imaging

      2.2.1 MRI

      1.5 T MRI (Magnetom Aera, Siemens Healthcare) was performed using an 18-channel body and a 32-channel spine coil, centered on the primary tumor, prior to commencement of neoadjuvant chemotherapy or chemoradiation, and within a mean ± SD of 19 ± 9 days of the staging 18F-FDG PET/CT. Hyoscine butylbromide (Buscopan, Boehringer Ingelheim) 20 mg was administered intravenously as an anti-peristaltic, unless contraindicated. In addition to standard diagnostic sequences, dynamic T1-weighted gradient echo sequences to assess tumor vascularization were acquired in the axial plane following administration of gadolinium-based contrast agent (gadoterate meglumine, Dotarem, Guerbet) 0.2 ml/kg, injected using a pump at 4 ml/s, followed by a 20 ml saline chaser. MRI acquisition parameters are summarized in Supplemental Table 1.

      2.2.2 18F-FDG PET/CT

      18F-FDG PET/CT (Discovery 710, GE Healthcare) was performed after intravenous injection of up to 400MBq 18F-FDG and an uptake period of 60 min, provided the pre-imaging blood glucose level was ≤10 mmol/L. Imaging extended from the skull base to mid-thigh. PET scan duration was 3 min per bed position. PET image reconstruction included standard scanner-based corrections for radiotracer decay, scatter, randoms and dead-time. Emission sinograms were reconstructed with a time-of-flight ordered subset expectation maximization algorithm and Gaussian post-reconstruction smoothing filter. A low dose CT scan was performed at the start of imaging to provide attenuation correction and an anatomical reference standard. 18F-FDG PET/CT acquisition parameters are summarized in Supplemental Table 2.

      2.3 Image analysis

      2.3.1 MRI

      Dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI was analyzed using Tissue 4D (Syngo.via, Siemens Healthcare) allowing both qualitative and quantitative assessment (pharmacokinetic modelling). Following motion correction and image registration of the pre-contrast and dynamic contrast-enhanced T1-weighted sequence, the tumor was located by two radiologists in consensus. A volume-of-interest encompassed the tumor craniocaudally (but excluding the most cranial or caudal slices to minimize inflow-outflow effects), generating averaged parameter values for each patient.
      The following qualitative parameters were recorded for the primary tumor.
      • Initial area under the gadolinium concentration-time curve (iAUGC); within 60 s of the calculated contrast arrival time, reflecting inflow and vascular leakage
      • Peak enhancement; highest value of Gadolinium concentration, prior to washout
      • Time to peak enhancement (TTP, min)
      Following pharmacokinetic modelling using the Toft's model [
      • Tofts P.S.
      • et al.
      Estimating kinetic parameters from dynamic contrast-enhanced T(1)-weighted MRI of a diffusable tracer: standardized quantities and symbols.
      ] with the computationally-efficient population-based vascular input described by Orton [
      • Orton M.R.
      • et al.
      Computationally efficient vascular input function models for quantitative kinetic modelling using DCE-MRI.
      ], the following quantitative parameters were recorded.
      • Transfer constant (Ktrans, min−1); rate of leakage of gadolinium from blood plasma to the extracellular extravascular space (EES)
      • Relative volume of EES (Ve, range 0–1); relative amount of interstitial space available to accumulate gadolinium
      • Rate constant (kep, min−1); rate of reflux of gadolinium from the EES, back into the vasculature

      2.3.2 18F-FDG PET/CT

      18F-FDG PET/CT analysis with a pre-defined threshold of 40% of the maximum voxel intensity was performed by a single nuclear medicine/PET physician with >20 years of experience, blinded to MRI and clinical data), by placing a bounding box around the tumor using a standard clinical platform (HybridViewer, Hermes Medical Solutions). Maximum and mean standardized uptake values (SUVmax and SUVmean, respectively), metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG = SUVmean x MTV) were recorded.

      2.4 Treatment

      2.4.1 Neoadjuvant treatment

      Patients were treated with either neoadjuvant chemoradiation as per the CROSS protocol [
      • Shapiro J.
      • et al.
      Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy plus surgery versus surgery alone for oesophageal or junctional cancer (CROSS): long-term results of a randomised controlled trial.
      ], receiving 41.4Gy in 23 fractions over five weeks with concomitant weekly carboplatin AUC 2 and paclitaxel 50 mg/m2 or with neoadjuvant ECX chemotherapy (epirubicin 50 mg/m2 on day 1, cisplatin 60 mg/m2 on day 1 and capecitabine 625 mg/m2 bd day 1–21; every 21 days for 3 cycles) or neoadjuvant FLOT chemotherapy (docetaxel 50 mg/m2 day 1, oxaliplatin 85 mg/m2 day 1 and 5-fluorouracil 2600 mg/m2 administered as a continuous infusion over 24 h every 14 days for 4 cycles) [
      • Al-Batran S.-E.
      • et al.
      Perioperative chemotherapy with docetaxel, oxaliplatin, and fluorouracil/leucovorin (FLOT) versus epirubicin, cisplatin, and fluorouracil or capecitabine (ECF/ECX) for resectable gastric or gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) adenocarcinoma (FLOT4-AIO): a multicenter, randomized phase 3 trial.
      ].

      2.4.2 Definitive treatment

      Patients who were deemed fit for surgery underwent a trans-hiatal or trans-thoracic esophagectomy with en-bloc lymphadenectomy [
      • Davies A.R.
      • et al.
      Tumor stage after neoadjuvant chemotherapy determines survival after surgery for adenocarcinoma of the esophagus and esophagogastric junction.
      ]. Patients who were not surgical candidates, underwent definitive chemoradiation to a dose of 50Gy in 25 fractions over 5 weeks with concomitant cisplatin 60 mg/m2 and either 5-fluorouracil administered as a continuous infusion 1000 mg/m2 on day 1–4 or capecitabine 625 mg/m2 twice daily on day 1–25 for 4 cycles [
      • Herskovic A.
      • et al.
      Combined chemotherapy and radiotherapy compared with radiotherapy alone in patients with cancer of the esophagus.
      ]. Radiotherapy was planned using a 3- or 4-dimensional CT simulation. Clinical target volume was defined as the gross tumour volume (contoured in reference to the imaging and endoscopy report) expanded by 2 cm superiorly and inferiorly along the body of the esophagus (or 1 cm above the most superior or inferior involved node) and 1 cm laterally, anteriorly and posteriorly edited for lung, pericardium and vertebral body. Clinical target volume was expanded using a uniform 0.5 cm margin to form the planning treatment volume [
      • Wills L.
      • et al.
      Quality assurance of the SCOPE 1 trial in oesophageal radiotherapy.
      ]. Radiotherapy was delivered using intensity modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) or volumetric arc radiotherapy (VMAT) technique.

      2.5 Histopathological assessment

      Pathologic tumor regression following neoadjuvant treatment was assessed as standard by 2 gastrointestinal pathologists using the Mandard tumor regression grade (TRG), where TRG 1 represents complete regression (no viable tumor cells); TRG 2 represents fibrosis with rare tumor cells; TRG 3 represents fibrosis and tumor cells, with preponderance of fibrosis; TRG 4 represents fibrosis and tumor cells, with a preponderance of tumor cells; and TRG 5 represents tumor without evidence of regression [
      • Thies S.
      • Langer R.
      Tumor regression grading of gastrointestinal carcinomas after neoadjuvant treatment.
      ]. Post-treatment nodal status was determined by assessment of all resected nodes for presence/absence of viable tumour cells.

      2.6 Follow-up

      Patients were reviewed every 3 months for the first 2 years and every 6 months thereafter with yearly CT scan as per institutional practice for up to 5-years. Increased frequency of imaging and use of endoscopy were dependent on patient symptoms. An event constituted recurrence (local or metastatic) or death. Follow-up was censored at the last clinic appointment or date of the last surveillance scan.

      2.7 Statistical analysis

      2.7.1 Association between imaging parameters and tumor characteristics

      Analysis was undertaken by a statistician using Stata, version 15.1 (StataCorp LP). Pearson correlation coefficient assessed the relationship between dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and PET parameters. Mann-Whitney U test compared the tumor vascular-metabolic ratio (peak enhancement/SUVmax or Ktrans/SUVmax) by pathological tumor stage (T1/2 versus T3/4), nodal status (negative versus positive), and resection margin status (negative versus positive).

      2.7.2 Associations with outcomes

      Associations between imaging variables obtained from dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-FDG PET/CT and outcome (response or survival) variables were assessed. The Mandard TRG score was included in the analyses as a binary variable with ‘1’ corresponding to TRG 1–2 (good response) and ‘0’ corresponding to TRG 3–5 (poor response) [
      • Noordman B.J.
      • et al.
      Detection of residual disease after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy for oesophageal cancer (preSANO): a prospective multicentre, diagnostic cohort study.
      ]. Recurrence-free and overall survival time was represented in the analyses as months elapsed from treatment to an event or censoring. All statistical hypotheses were tested at alpha = .05 (type I error), taking into consideration the limited sample size and exploratory nature of the analysis in drawing conclusions about investigated associations.
      To assess associations with response, descriptive statistics summarizing distributions of tumor characteristics across groups determined by values on Mandard TRG scores were calculated initially. Since the majority of imaging derived variables were non-normally distributed medians and interquartile ranges (IQR) were reported along with results of Mann-Whitney U tests. All imaging variables were transformed into their z-scores (having 1SD as a unit, where the variable value was subtracted from the mean and divided by the SD) prior to univariate and multivariable logistic regression modelling for the outcome of interest. Effects were reported by odds ratio (OR), 95% confidence intervals and p-values and for multivariable modelling, effect was adjusted by pre-specified baseline clinical information - age, gender, T stage and N stage. The goodness of fit of each model was summarized with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). To assess associations with survival, again standardized forms (z-scores) were entered individually to a series of univariate Cox regression models. Results of these analyses were reported as hazard ratios (HR) along with their 95% confidence intervals and p-values.

      3. Results

      3.1 Participant and tumor characteristics

      47 participants were recruited. 39 participants (30 male, 9 female; median (IQR) age 65 (54–72) years) completed baseline staging 18F-FDG PET/CT and dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and included in this analysis (Fig. 1). The majority of participants had ≥ T3 stage (88%; 35/39), node positive tumors (79%; 29/39). 85% (33/39) of tumors were adenocarcinomas. 95% (37/39) were located at the esophagogastric junction or lower esophagus. Surgery was performed following neoadjuvant therapy in 85% (33/39). The majority of patients received neoadjuvant FLOT chemotherapy prior to surgery (91%, 30/33). 33% (11/33) of the patients who underwent surgery demonstrated a good pathological response (Mandard TRG 1 or 2). Table 1 summarizes participant and tumor characteristics. No correlations were identified between dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-FDG PET/CT variables (r: −0.32 to 0.15; p > 0.05). There was a difference in vascular-metabolic ratio (peak enhancement: SUVmax) in node positive versus node negative participants (median, 19.3 vs. 44.1, p = 0.02) but not for higher T-stage (median, 0.046 vs. 0.044, p = 0.62) or resection margin positivity (median, 0.039 vs. 0.045, p = 0.73).
      Table 1Participant & tumor characteristics (n = 39).
      Number (n)Percentage (%)
      Gender
       Female923
       Male3077
      Age
       <60 years1538
       ≥60 years2462
      T stage
       T2410
       T33487
       T413
      N stage
       N0821
       N11641
       N21333
       N325
      Histology
       Adenocarcinoma3385
       Squamous cell carcinom615
      Tumor location
       Mid thoracic esophagus25
       Low thoracic esophagus1744
       Esophagogastric2051
      Treatment
       Surgery alone13
       Chemoradiation alone38
      ECX chemotherapy (epirubicin, cisplatin, capecitabine);
      Chemotherapy alone
      25
      Carboplatin, paclitaxel plus radiotherapy.
      Neoadjuvant
      38
       chemoradiation +
       surgery
      FLOT chemotherapy (docetaxel, oxaliplatin, 5-fluorouracil).
      Neoadjuvant
      3077
       hemotherapy + surgery
      Surgical resection margins
       R03294
       R126
      ECX chemotherapy (epirubicin, cisplatin, capecitabine);
      a Carboplatin, paclitaxel plus radiotherapy.
      b FLOT chemotherapy (docetaxel, oxaliplatin, 5-fluorouracil).

      3.2 Associations with neoadjuvant therapy response

      Tumor imaging characteristics for all participants by pathological response are summarized in Table 2. In multivariable analyses, adjusted for pre-specified clinical variables: age, gender, tumor and nodal stage, peak enhancement was an independent predictor of response; odds of response decreased by 5% for each 0.01 unit increase (OR: 0.95; 95% CI: 0.90, 1.00; p = 0.04); AUC 0.87. There was no association between 18F-FDG PET variables and response (Table 3). Fig. 2, Fig. 3 provide illustrative examples of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-FDG PET/CT imaging for a responder and non-responder, respectively. Comparing pathological response to imaging response by RECIST v1.1 (taking Mandard TRG 1 or 2 and Complete Response or Partial Response by RECIST to both represent favorable response), n = 29/33 were concordant, n = 3/33 were discordant, and n = 1 became non-measurable due to stent insertion.
      Table 2Primary esophagogastric dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and18F-FDG PET/CT characteristics according to pathological response (n = 33).
      MRIResponders (n = 11)Non-responders (n = 22)p-value
      The reported p value is for Mann-Whitney U test.
      MedianIQRMedianIQR
      Peak enhancement (mmol.L−1)0.220.18, 0.340.350.25, 0.690.05
      TTP (min)0.780.59, 0.780.600.56, 0.780.77
      iAUC0.430.27, 0.650.260.16, 0.440.10
      Ktrans (min−1)0.290.20, 0.370.200.13, 0.250.07
      Ve0.310.20, 0.370.220.17, 0.330.65
      kep (min−1)0.830.53, 1.240.750.64, 0.900.45
      18F-FDG PET/CTMedianIQRMedianIQR
      SUVmax10.05.4, 15.98.66.4, 13.11.00
      SUVmean5.53.2, 8.45.44.5, 7.60.95
      Total lesion glycolysis58.447.9, 91.456.323.0, 110.10.79
      Metabolic tumor volume (cm3)12.56.4, 15.49.06.2, 16.80.65
      Vascular-metabolic ratioMedianIQRMedianIQR
      Peak enhancement: SUVmax0.0270.018, 0.0640.0440.025, 0.0730.29
      Ktrans: SUVmax0.0220.018, 0.0440.0200.015, 0.0390.41
      Abbreviations: time to peak (TTP), initial area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (iAUC), transfer constant (Ktrans), extravascular extracellular volume ratio (Ve), rate constant (kep), maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), mean standardized uptake value (SUVmean), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), metabolic tumor volume (MTV).
      a The reported p value is for Mann-Whitney U test.
      Table 3Multivariable analysis: assessment of imaging variables for prediction of response adjusted for baseline clinical information (age, gender, T stage, N stage) (n = 33).
      Odds ratio95% Confidence intervalArea under ROC curvep-value
      MRI
      MRI variable multiplied by 100 prior to analysis due to the small numerical values.
      Peak enhancement (mmol.L−1)0.950.90, 1.000.870.04
      TTP (min)1.000.95, 1.050.740.92
      iAUC1.030.99, 1.070.800.15
      Ktrans (min−1)1.131.00, 1.280.870.06
      Ve1.010.97, 1.060.750.66
      Kep (min−1)1.020.99, 1.050.780.30
      18F-FDG PET
      SUVmax1.020.89, 1.180.760.76
      SUVmean1.030.79, 1.350.760.81
      Total lesion glycolysis1.001.00, 1.010.760.99
      Metabolic tumor volume (cm3)0.990.92, 1.050.770.67
      Abbreviations: time to peak (TTP), initial area under the ROC curve (iAUC), transfer constant (Ktrans), extravascular extracellular volume ratio (Ve), rate constant (kep), maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), mean standardized uptake value (SUVmean).
      a MRI variable multiplied by 100 prior to analysis due to the small numerical values.
      Fig. 2
      Fig. 259-year-old with an esophagogastric adenocarcinoma responding to neoadjuvant therapy (TRG 2). Axial T2-weighted MRI (A) demonstrates the primary tumor. Axial pre-contrast T1-weighted MRI (B), arterial phase T1-weighted MRI (C) and portal-venous phase T1-weighted MRI (D) show early tumor enhancement with washout. Corresponding peak enhancement map (E) and 18F-FDG PET/CT (F) show lower tumor peak enhancement of 0.17 mmol.L−1 and metabolic activity, SUVmax of 29.8, respectively.
      Fig. 3
      Fig. 375-year-old with a lower esophageal adenocarcinoma who had a poor response to neoadjuvant therapy (TRG 4). Axial T2-weighted MRI image (A) demonstrates the primary tumor. Axial pre-contrast T1-weighted MRI image (B), axial arterial phase T1-weighted MRI image (C) and axial portal-venous phase T1-weighted MRI image (D) show early tumor enhancement with washout. Corresponding peak enhancement map (E) and 18F-FDG PET/CT (F) shows higher peak enhancement of 0.33 mmol L−1 and lower tumor metabolic activity, SUVmax of 5.7, respectively.

      3.3 Associations with recurrence-free and overall survival

      No relationships were identified between dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI or 18F-FDG PET/CT parameters and recurrence-free or overall survival (Supplemental Tables 3 and 4).

      4. Discussion

      There is an ongoing clinical need for better predictive markers to individualize care for patients with primary esophagogastric cancer as even with multimodality treatment, 75% of patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy will be classed as pathological non-responders [
      • Noble F.
      • et al.
      Multicentre cohort study to define and validate pathological assessment of response to neoadjuvant therapy in oesophagogastric adenocarcinoma.
      ]. The tumor vascular-metabolic imaging phenotype may provide additional information to standard TNM staging.
      To date there has been no published data of the vascular-metabolic phenotype in esophagogastric cancer. It has been proposed that a mismatch between vascularization and metabolism may occur as tumors enlarge, leading to localized hypoxia and anaerobic glycolysis [
      • Semenza G.L.
      Targeting HIF-1 for cancer therapy.
      ]. Indeed, we noted no correlation between dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI and 18F-FDG PET variables in our cohort, where the majority were T3 cancers.
      We also found that the initial tumor peak enhancement/SUVmax ratio was higher in patients who remained node positive after neoadjuvant therapy, suggesting possible predictive value for these parameters. Previous limited studies of the vascular-metabolic phenotype in colorectal cancer with perfusion CT and 18F-FDG PET have noted that tumors with a lower perfusion-metabolic ratio demonstrate higher VEGF and HIF-1 alpha expression [
      • Goh V.
      • et al.
      The flow-metabolic phenotype of primary colorectal cancer: assessment by integrated 18F-FDG PET/perfusion CT with histopathologic correlation.
      ]; and a combination of metabolic activity, permeability and perfusion may inform on outcome [
      • Chen S.H.
      • et al.
      FDG-PET/CT in colorectal cancer: potential for vascular-metabolic imaging to provide markers of prognosis.
      ], but have not assessed response to neoadjuvant therapy.
      In terms of the association of vascular-metabolic parameters with pathologic Mandard tumor regression grade, peak enhancement (representing the maximum gadolinium concentration prior to curve washout), alongside pre-specified clinical variables including gender, tumor and nodal stage, was a predictor of response. The odds of response decreased by 5% for each 0.01 unit increase in peak enhancement.
      Our findings appear to differ from other studies of dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI in the response setting in esophageal cancer. However, of note, these studies have focused predominantly on squamous cell carcinomas treated with chemoradiotherapy, unlike our cohort, have not considered clinical factors, or used imaging metrics of response, which may account for the apparent difference in findings. For example, Lei et al. [
      • Lei J.
      • et al.
      Assessment of esophageal carcinoma undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy with quantitative dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging.
      ] (n = 25) and Sun et al. [
      • Sun N.N.
      • et al.
      Dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI for advanced esophageal cancer response assessment after concurrent chemoradiotherapy.
      ] (n = 59) identified squamous tumors demonstrating higher Ktrans were more likely to undergo a favorable response to chemoradiotherapy, but this was defined by RECIST v1.1, not pathology. Similarly, Ye et al. (n = 237) found higher Ktrans in responders treated with chemoradiotherapy [
      • Ye Z.M.
      • et al.
      DCE-MRI-Derived volume transfer constant (K(trans)) and DWI apparent diffusion coefficient as predictive markers of short- and long-term efficacy of chemoradiotherapy in patients with esophageal cancer.
      ]. Yet, in another cohort of squamous cancers (n = 32) treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy prior to surgery, Ji et al. [
      • Ji W.
      • et al.
      Diagnostic performance of vascular permeability and texture parameters for evaluating the response to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.
      ] found no difference in baseline Ktrans between complete (TRG 1 or 2) and incomplete responders. However, these were less advanced T1N0 and T2N0 stage tumors.
      We found no apparent relationship between baseline 18F-FDG PET parameters and pathological response. Published 18F-FDG PET data are heterogeneous. For example, in a cohort of esophagogastric adenocarcinomas, Wieder et al. (n = 24) found no relationship between baseline SUVmax and response [
      • Wieder H.A.
      • et al.
      Prediction of tumor response by FDG-PET: comparison of the accuracy of single and sequential studies in patients with adenocarcinomas of the esophagogastric junction.
      ]. In contrast, Javeri et al. (n = 161) noted a lower initial SUVmax in non-responding adenocarcinomas treated with chemoradiotherapy [
      • Javeri H.
      • et al.
      Influence of the baseline 18F-fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography results on survival and pathologic response in patients with gastroesophageal cancer undergoing chemoradiation.
      ]. In another cohort of squamous cancers undergoing definitive chemoradiotherapy Wang et al. (n = 138) found tumors with a high SUVmax (>11.9) had worse response, by RECIST [
      • Wang C.
      • et al.
      Baseline FDG uptake and peripheral lymphocyte-monocyte ratio for predicting chemoradiotherapy response in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.
      ].
      In terms of recurrence-free or overall survival, while we found no apparent association between baseline vascular-metabolic parameters with oncological outcomes, several 18F-FDG PET studies have reported higher baseline SUVmax is associated with worse overall survival [
      • Suzuki A.
      • et al.
      Prognostic significance of baseline positron emission tomography and importance of clinical complete response in patients with esophageal or gastroesophageal junction cancer treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy.
      ,
      • Rizk N.
      • et al.
      Preoperative 18[F]-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography standardized uptake values predict survival after esophageal adenocarcinoma resection.
      ,
      • Chhabra A.
      • et al.
      Prognostic significance of PET assessment of metabolic response to therapy in oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma.
      ,
      • Fukunaga T.
      • et al.
      Evaluation of esophageal cancers using fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose PET.
      ], however, many others have not found any relationship [
      • Wieder H.A.
      • et al.
      Prediction of tumor response by FDG-PET: comparison of the accuracy of single and sequential studies in patients with adenocarcinomas of the esophagogastric junction.
      ,
      • Elimova E.
      • et al.
      18-fluorodeoxy-glucose positron emission computed tomography as predictive of response after chemoradiation in oesophageal cancer patients.
      ,
      • Mantziari S.
      • et al.
      18F- FDG PET/CT-derived parameters predict clinical stage and prognosis of esophageal cancer.
      ,
      • Hong J.H.
      • et al.
      Total lesion glycolysis using 1⁸F-FDG PET/CT as a prognostic Factor for locally advanced esophageal cancer.
      ,
      • Park S.Y.
      • Lee S.J.
      • Yoon J.K.
      The prognostic value of total lesion glycolysis via 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose PET-CT in surgically treated esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.
      ,
      • Li Y.
      • et al.
      Metabolic parameters of sequential 18F-FDG PET/CT predict overall survival of esophageal cancer patients treated with (chemo-) radiation.
      ].
      Our findings are preliminary but suggest there may be predictive information in the extent of tumor enhancement beyond staging. Peak enhancement is a relatively straightforward parameter to assess in clinical practice without the need for pharmacokinetic modelling. Nevertheless, there are limitations to our study. Peak enhancement values may be affected by scanner and acquisition protocols; and physiologically, both tissue and circulatory properties contribute to its value [
      • Gordon Y.
      • et al.
      Dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging: fundamentals and application to the evaluation of the peripheral perfusion.
      ]. Esophageal MRI is not without challenges, including the need to compensate for cardiac and respiratory motion as well as peristalsis. A major limitation is the small sample and low number of participants with events, particularly for multivariable analysis. To mitigate this, pre-specified clinical parameters were included given their known association with clinical outcome, and only a single imaging parameter assessed in this manner. We acknowledge that higher enrolment may have led to different conclusions and associations, not presently possible. Finally, this study included adenocarcinomas mainly, with only a few squamous cell carcinomas, but this reflects our practice.
      In conclusion, in this exploratory study a high pre-treatment ratio of MRI peak enhancement to SUV maximum uptake was associated with persistence of nodal positivity following neoadjuvant therapy and surgery. MRI peak enhancement was also associated with pathological response suggesting potential additional information from functional imaging assessment.

      Credit author statement

      Samuel J Withey: Data acquisition, Quality control, Data analysis & interpretation, Manuscript preparation. Kasia Owczarczyk: Data acquisition, Quality control, Data analysis & interpretation, Manuscript preparation. Mariusz T Grzeda: Data acquisition, Data analysis & interpretation, Statistical analysis, Manuscript preparation. Connie Yip: Study concepts, Study design, Manuscript editing, Manuscript review. Harriet Deere: Data acquisition, Manuscript editing, Manuscript review. Mike Green: Manuscript editing, Manuscript review. Andrew R Davies: Manuscript editing, Manuscript review. Gary J Cook: Study concepts, Study design, Data acquisition, Manuscript preparation, Manuscript editing, Manuscript review. Vicky Goh: Study concepts, Study design, Data acquisition, Quality control, Data analysis & interpretation, Manuscript preparation, Manuscript editing, Manuscript review.

      Acknowledgements

      The authors acknowledge funding support from the Cancer Research UK King's College London/University College London Comprehensive Cancer Imaging Centre(C1519/A16463); Cancer Research UK National Imaging Translational Accelerator Award (C4278/A27066); Wellcome EPSRC Centre for Medical Engineering at King's College London (WT 203148/Z/16/Z); and Department of Health via the NIHR Comprehensive Biomedical Research Centre award to Guy's & St Thomas' NHS Foundation Trust in partnership with King's College London/King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust. Dr Samuel Withey was also supported by a Cancer Research UK Research Bursary (C66940/A28141).

      Appendix A. Supplementary data

      The following is the Supplementary data to this article.

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